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Econometrics & Causal Inference

Deconfounding and causal discovery — separating what correlates from what an intervention changes. 26 papers in the vault, 13 drawn here.

13 papers drawn here · 43 curated relations touch the area · 0 authored papers. The graph opens straight on this view; the map and every other area stay one click away.

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Papers drawn in Econometrics & Causal Inference (13)

Every paper drawn in this area, sorted by curated degree. Click a title to open its ego graph on the canvas above, or follow the DOI / arXiv link to the publisher record.

PaperAuthorsYearIdentifier / VenueStatusRelations
Difference-in-Differences with Multiple Time Periods

DiD estimator for staggered treatment timing with heterogeneous effects. It shows that two-way fixed-effects regressions can be badly biased when already-treated units serve as controls, and it estimates group-time ATTs aggregated into event-study effects.

Callaway & Sant'Anna2021DOI:10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.12.001peer-reviewed (vault claim)10
Difference-in-differences with variation in treatment timing

TWFE DiD with staggered timing is a weighted mix of all 2x2 comparisons, including already-treated units as controls with possibly negative weights. Warns against pooled before/after-upgrade rate ratios across cohorts.

Goodman-Bacon2021DOI:10.1016/j.jeconom.2021.03.014peer-reviewed (vault claim)7
Estimating Dynamic Treatment Effects in Event Studies with Heterogeneous Treatment Effects

Proves that two-way fixed effects (TWFE) event-study regressions under staggered adoption contaminate lead and lag coefficients with heterogeneous treatment effects from other cohorts, and introduces an interaction-weighted estimator.

Sun & Abraham2021DOI:10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.09.006peer-reviewed (vault claim)6
What’s trending in difference-in-differences? A synthesis of the recent econometrics literature

Review of modern DiD: staggered, heterogeneity, parallel-trends violations

Roth et al.2023DOI:10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.03.008peer-reviewed (vault claim)6
The State of Applied Econometrics: Causality and Policy Evaluation

Survey of applied causal econometrics; argues for supplementary analyses (placebo tests on pseudo-outcomes and pseudo-treatments, sensitivity to unconfoundedness, robustness) beside point estimates. Applied as placebo cluster labels (recurrence), org-level shuffled release labels (relrate) and placebo intervention dates (ITS).

Athey & Imbens2017DOI:10.1257/jep.31.2.3peer-reviewed (vault claim)5
The wild bootstrap for few (treated) clusters

Cluster-robust t and pairs/wild bootstraps over-reject when few clusters are treated; wild restricted (WCR) and subcluster bootstraps fix much of it. Relevant to relrate (2025.2 rests on 10-17 orgs), fs_infra Azure (6 orgs) and uppath paths (8-9 orgs): percentile pairs-cluster bootstraps there undercover.

MacKinnon & Webb2018DOI:10.1111/ectj.12107peer-reviewed (vault claim)5
Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error

Sample selection bias is an omitted-variable problem: estimates from a self-selected sample are biased unless the selection mechanism is modelled.

Heckman1979DOI:10.2307/1912352peer-reviewed (vault claim)4
Simple approaches to nonlinear difference-in-differences with panel data

Extended TWFE / Poisson for nonlinear DiD with staggered adoption

Wooldridge2023DOI:10.1093/ectj/utad016peer-reviewed (vault claim)4
Wild Bootstrap Inference for Wildly Different Cluster Sizes

Wild cluster bootstrap with wildly unequal cluster sizes over-rejects when one cluster dominates; relevant to slownode (Rakuten 46% of flagged bundles) and fsync (top 5 orgs 54% of stalls).

MacKinnon & Webb2016DOI:10.1002/jae.2508peer-reviewed (vault claim)3
A Practitioner’s Guide to Cluster-Robust Inference

Cluster-robust inference guide: with few or unbalanced clusters, standard errors are too small; use cluster bootstrap / CR3 / wild cluster.

Cameron & Miller2015DOI:10.3368/jhr.50.2.317peer-reviewed (vault claim)2
A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix

HAC covariance used for the monthly ITS gap series (maxlags 2, small-sample t). With about 20 monthly points HAC SEs can be optimistic; show the CI and the minimum detectable effect rather than a significance verdict.

Newey & West1987DOI:10.2307/1913610peer-reviewed (vault claim)2
Monotone Instrumental Variables: With an Application to the Returns to Schooling

Monotone treatment selection (MTS) and monotone IV assumptions tighten worst-case Manski bounds. Applied to bundle-only rates (Bundle Insights bias/fs_prev): assuming bundled tickets are at least as severe as unbundled (MTS), the bundle-only rate is an upper bound on the queue rate, which the CE validation (26% vs 14%) supports;

Manski & Pepper2000DOI:10.1111/1468-0262.00144peer-reviewed (vault claim)1
Some Statistical Models for Limited Dependent Variables with Application to the Demand for Durable GoodsCragg1971DOI:10.2307/1909582peer-reviewed (vault claim)1

Curated semantic relation notes touching Causal Inference (15)

  • complements ↔ The State of Applied Econometrics: Causality and Policy Evaluation ↔ Negative Controls

    placebo tests in econometrics are the pseudo-outcome/pseudo-exposure counterpart of epidemiological negative controls

    Drafted by: agent draft (gemini)

  • complements ↔ Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial ↔ Difference-in-Differences with Multiple Time Periods

    ITS for single-start interventions; staggered DiD when bot rollout differs by region/product

    Drafted by: agent draft (gemini)

  • uses method → Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial → A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix

    HAC SEs are a standard ITS autocorrelation remedy

    Drafted by: agent draft (gemini)

  • extends → The wild bootstrap for few (treated) clusters → Wild Bootstrap Inference for Wildly Different Cluster Sizes

    Few treated clusters case of the wild cluster bootstrap.

    Drafted by: agent draft (gemini)

  • extends → Wild Bootstrap Inference for Wildly Different Cluster Sizes → Bootstrap-Based Improvements for Inference with Clustered Errors

    Wild cluster bootstrap behaviour with few/unbalanced clusters.

    Drafted by: agent draft (gemini)

  • extends → Training, Wages, and Sample Selection: Estimating Sharp Bounds on Treatment Effects → Monotone Instrumental Variables: With an Application to the Returns to Schooling

    Both tighten worst-case selection bounds by monotonicity; MTS/MIV on outcomes vs Lee's monotone selection into observation.

    Drafted by: agent draft (gemini)

  • complements ↔ A More Credible Approach to Parallel Trends ↔ What’s trending in difference-in-differences? A synthesis of the recent econometrics literature

    honest DiD sensitivity is one of the tools synthesised in the review

    Drafted by: agent draft (gemini)

  • complements ↔ Estimating Dynamic Treatment Effects in Event Studies with Heterogeneous Treatment Effects ↔ Difference-in-Differences with Multiple Time Periods

    Interaction-weighted event study; alternative heterogeneity-robust estimator for staggered adoption.

    Drafted by: agent draft (gemini)

  • complements ↔ Difference-in-Differences with Multiple Time Periods ↔ The use of controls in interrupted time series studies of public health interventions

    Controlled ITS and staggered DiD are complementary designs for evaluating a rollout with a comparison group.

    Drafted by: agent draft (claude)

  • extends → Difference-in-Differences with Multiple Time Periods → Difference-in-differences with variation in treatment timing

    CS ATT(g,t) estimator is the remedy for the TWFE weighting problem Goodman-Bacon decomposes.

    Drafted by: agent draft (gemini)

  • complements ↔ The Wild Bootstrap with a “Small” Number of “Large” Clusters ↔ The wild bootstrap for few (treated) clusters

    Theory for the wild bootstrap with few large clusters.

    Drafted by: agent draft (gemini)

  • extends → A Comparison of Alternative Models for the Demand for Medical Care → Some Statistical Models for Limited Dependent Variables with Application to the Demand for Durable Goods

    The RAND two-part model generalises Cragg's two-tier limited-dependent-variable model to medical spending.

    Drafted by: agent draft (claude)

  • extends → Inference for Nonprobability Samples → Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error

    Extends classical two-step selection correction to propensity-weighted inference combining non-probability convenience samples with probability reference surveys.

    Drafted by: agent draft (gemini)

  • contrasts with ↔ Difference-in-differences with variation in treatment timing ↔ Difference-in-Differences with Multiple Time Periods

    Bacon diagnoses TWFE bias under staggered timing; CS gives a clean ATT(g,t) estimator

    Drafted by: agent draft (gemini)

  • complements ↔ Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error ↔ Training, Wages, and Sample Selection: Estimating Sharp Bounds on Treatment Effects

    Selection model vs bounds under sample selection

    Drafted by: agent draft (gemini)

Full vault context

This page lists the 13 drawn papers and 15 semantic relation notes touching Econometrics & Causal Inference. For the site-wide four evidence chains, 3 explicit refutations, retracted claim, and all 23 authored records, return to The Research Network overview →

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